Supply Chain & Industrial Dependency Risk

Identifying structural dependencies before disruption, coercion, or scarcity reshape operations, costs, and strategic autonomy.

Global supply chains are no longer optimized systems — they are strategic vulnerabilities.

Industrial dependencies today are shaped by geopolitics, regulation, resource concentration, and policy leverage. What once appeared as efficiency is increasingly a source of exposure: production stoppages, regulatory pressure, price shocks, reputational risk, or loss of strategic optionality.

At José Parejo & Associates, we help boards and executive teams identify and manage critical industrial dependencies before they become operational or financial crises.

Our analysis goes beyond logistics or procurement.
We examine where dependency becomes leverage — and how geopolitical, regulatory, or institutional dynamics can weaponize supply chains.

This allows decision-makers to act upstream, while alternatives still exist. This area of work is part of our broader What We Solve framework.

Why This Risk Is Often Missed

Most organizations detect supply chain risk too late, because it is assessed through fragmented or purely technical lenses.

Common blind spots include:

• Overreliance on Tier-1 supplier visibility

• Lack of mapping of upstream geopolitical concentration (APIs, critical minerals, components)

• Separation between regulatory analysis and operational planning

• Underestimation of export controls, sanctions, or informal political pressure

• False assumptions about market neutrality in critical inputs

As a result, dependency only becomes visible after disruption, cost escalation, or strategic constraint.

Core Areas of Exposure We Address

• Critical raw materials and strategic minerals

• Pharmaceutical APIs and healthcare inputs

• Energy vectors and industrial feedstocks

• Advanced manufacturing components

• Food, agriculture, and essential commodities

(We adapt scope to sector and geography.)

How We Assess Industrial Dependency

We analyze supply chain exposure as a strategic risk, integrating:

• Geographic concentration of critical inputs

• Regulatory and sanctions exposure

• Political leverage and informal state influence

• Substitutability and time-to-diversification

• Cost, quality, and continuity trade-offs

• Impact on investment, expansion, or exit decisions

Our work produces decision-grade clarity, not generic monitoring.

How We Intervene

We intervene before dependency crystallizes into constraint.

Our work typically includes:

• Structural dependency mapping (beyond Tier-1)

• Scenario analysis linking geopolitics to operational impact

• Early-warning indicators and trigger thresholds

• Strategic options: diversification, redesign, timing, or controlled exposure

• Executive and board-level briefings aligned with real decisions

We do not provide generic resilience frameworks.
We translate complexity into clear strategic options.

Confidential Briefing

For boards and senior executives facing industrial dependency with strategic implications, we provide confidential, decision-focused briefings tailored to sector, geography, and exposure profile.

→ Request a confidential discussion

When We Are Called

Organizations typically engage us when:

• Critical inputs are concentrated in a small number of jurisdictions

• Expansion or investment decisions depend on fragile supply chains

• Regulatory or geopolitical shifts threaten continuity or pricing

• Sanctions, export controls, or informal restrictions are emerging

• Traditional audits fail to capture strategic exposure

Our role is to restore decision-making advantage where dependency is structural.